In a live interview broadcast on Israel Radio after the Shvakim Panorama poll results were announced, MK Netanyahu warned that those who vote for right-wing “satellite parties” are making a mistake in thinking that a Likud victory is already a certainty when this is far from the case.  Netanyahu declined to comment on Ari Shavit’s harsh remarks yesterday that FM Livni is not qualified to serve as prime minister.  Netanyahu responded that the elections are not over personalities but instead policy and that there is a clear choice between Likud and Kadima over the Golan, Jordan Valley and united Jerusalem.

Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis (including Arab citizens of Israel) carried out by Shvakim Panorama for Israel Radio’s Hakol Diburim (It’s All Talk) programme on 4 February 2009.

Poll #2 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 972 adult Israelis (including Arab citizens of Israel) carried out by New Wave on 3-4 February for Yisrael Hayom and published on 5 February.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 600 adult Israelis (including Arab citizens of Israel) carried out by Geocartography  on 2 February for Globes and published on 4 February.

Poll #4 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 700 adult Israelis (including Arab citizens of Israel) carried out by TNS Teleseker on 2 February for Maariv and published on 4 February.

Poll #5 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 671 adult Israelis (including Arab citizens of Israel)  carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz) on 30 January through 2 February.

28% did not say what party they would vote for.

Current Knesset seats in [brackets]:

#1 #2 #3 #4 #5

21 24 21.0 23 23 [29] Kadima headed by Livni

16 16 17.0 17 12 [19] Labour

25 30 24.5 27 31 [12] Likud

11 09 11.0 10 11 [12] Shas

16 17 17.0 17 17 [11] Yisrael Beteinu

04 02 02.0 03 03 [03] “Jewish Home” (previously National Religious Party)

07 05 05.0 05 06 [06] Yahadut Hatorah

05 06 08.5 06 04 [05] Meretz

00 00 00.0 00 01 [00] Green Party

02 00 02.0 00 00 [07] Retirees Party

09 08 06.0 08 10 [10] Arab parties

00 00 00.0 00 00 [00] Meimad

00 00 00.0 00 00 [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)

04 03 06.0 04 02 [06] National Union (reconstituted)

00 00 00.0 00 00 [00] Green Leaf (legalise marijuana)

*  1 seat is not enough to get into the Knesset as need 2% of valid votes.

** 24.5 = 24-25, 8.5 = 8-9