Gaza Strip: Seven IDF soldiers were killed in action on Tuesday in Khan Yunis in the Gaza Strip when their Puma armoured combat engineering vehicle was hit by an explosive.
- All seven served in the 605th Combat Engineering Battalion. The soldiers were named as Lt. Matan Shai Yashinovski, 21, from Kfar Yona; Staff Sgt. Ronel Ben-Moshe, 20, from Rehovot; Staff Sgt. Niv Radia, 20, from Elyakhin; Sgt. Ronen Shapiro, 19, from Mazkeret Batya; Sgt. Shahar Manoav, 21, from Ashkelon; Sgt. Maayan Baruch Pearlstein, 20, from Eshhar; and Staff Sgt. Alon Davidov, 21, from Kiryat Yam.
- 879 IDF soldiers have been killed in the war which began on October 7, 2023. 440 of them since Israel began its operation in response to the massacre.
- In a separate incident, another soldier from the same battalion sustained serious injuries.
Israel – Iran ceasefire: A comprehensive ceasefire put an end to twelve days of active combat between Israel and Iran yesterday.
- The hours immediately before and after the ceasefire saw increased attacks from both sides and doubts about the efficacy of the ceasefire, but by midday yesterday all active combat had ceased.
- The ceasefire was due to go into effect at 7:00am Israel time. In the hours leading up to the deadline, Israel mounted a large offensive air operation in Iran, to the apparent surprise and displeasure of the Trump administration.
- In the last hour before the ceasefire went into effect, Iran launched four separate missile barrages at Israeli cities. A missile struck an apartment block in Beer Sheva in southern Israel, killing four people. It was one of the deadliest attacks in Israel during the entire 12 days of war.
- Hours after the ceasefire had gone into effect, a new Iranian missile attack was aimed at Haifa. Anger in Israel, both at the deadly Beer Sheva attack and the ceasefire violation in Haifa, led the Israeli government to order a new aerial attack on Iran.
- The Trump administration exerted public and private pressure on Israel to abort this attack, with Trump making colourful and direct statements on social media and on the White House lawn, as well as holding a phone call with the Israeli prime minister, who ultimately called off most of the planned attack and made do with a symbolic attack on an Iranian radar facility.
- With that final blow, the ceasefire entered into full force, and has held so far for more than 20 hours.
Context: With the war seemingly over for now, the rhetorical battle over its outcome began.
- A low-confidence preliminary assessment by the US Defence Intelligence Agency that Iran’s nuclear programme was set back only by a few months was seized upon by sceptics of military action in Iran as proof of its lack of efficacy, commanding banner headlines in the New York Times and elsewhere.
- Both the US and Israel have yet to make more detailed assessments of the damage to Iranian nuclear sites, as well as to Iran’s existing stock of ballistic missiles and its capacity to make more.
- Prime Minister Netanyahu spoke to the Israeli public yesterday, saying “we destroyed Iran’s nuclear programme, and if anyone in Iran tries to revive that project, we will act with the same resoluteness and the same force to cut short any attempt of that kind. I reiterate: Iran will not have nuclear weapons.”
- President Trump released what appear to be screenshots of private correspondence between him and NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, a former Prime Minister of the Netherlands. Rutte welcomes Trump to the NATO conference in the Hague, saying that he was “flying into another big success in The Hague this evening.” Elsewhere in the text exchange, Rutte wrote to Trump, “That was truly extraordinary, and something no one else dared to do… It makes us all safer.”
- Writing in Yediot Ahronot, Ronen Bergman focussed on the ballistic missile threat: “Iran fired – and the IAF intercepted – roughly half of the ballistic missiles that Iran possessed prior to the Israeli attack. That is to say, they still have about 1,000 missiles. That means that another roughly 1,000 missiles remain. Israel is estimated to have destroyed about 200 of Iran’s 400 launchers and to have disrupted Iran’s efforts to dramatically expand its missile production, having aimed to produce about 10,000 missiles over the next five years. But do the remaining missiles, launchers and production infrastructure still pose a threat?”
- Elsewhere in Israel, attention turned back to the war in Gaza and the plight of the remaining hostages. Speculation abounded that the Israeli government could leverage its success in Iran to reach a more comprehensive ceasefire and hostage deal in Gaza — and even ride that to an early election. In Maariv, Ben Caspit appealed to Netanyahu to resist the entreaties of his far-right cabinet ministers to continue the war in Gaza and instead to agree to end the war now. He likened this to Trump’s decision to attack Iran, disappointing his far-right supporters who preferred a more isolationist stance. “Netanyahu, be Trump,” he wrote. “Learn from the unpredictable American president who went against his base… and made the right decision to bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities… Because sometimes you simply need to do the right thing. Trump did it. If Trump could do it, so can you. You need to put an end, here and now, to the needless war in Gaza.”
Looking ahead: Polling in Israel shows a minor increase in the personal popularity of Benjamin Netanyahu, but no dramatic shift in voting preferences for Knesset.
- In the first poll taken since the ceasefire in the war with Iran, Netanyahu’s Likud party saw its projected seat count rise to 26 from 22 in previous polls, but the gain was entirely at the expense of other right-wing parties. The current governing coalition, which holds 68 seats in the 120-seat Knesset, received only 49 seats in the latest poll, far short of a majority.
- The next election is due to be held in October 2026, but recent weeks have seen much speculation that an early election might be called. Reasons for this include the impasse over drafting ultra-Orthodox men and high expectations among Netanyahu’s supporters that the successful end of the war with Iran could boost his popularity.


