BICOM Strategic Assessment: The Second Lebanon War – ten years on


Ten years on from the Second Lebanon War and with Israel enjoying relative quiet on its northern border, what has changed since the events of 2006 and which lessons have (or have not) been learned from it? The BICOM research team has produced a Strategic Assessment of the changes since 2006, both in Israel and with Hezbollah.

Key Points

  • On the eve of the tenth anniversary of the Second Lebanon War, a future war with Hezbollah is considered the most threatening scenario for the IDF due to the organisation’s significant military capability.
  • In light of the failure of an ‘enhanced’ UN force to prevent Hezbollah rearming, Israel is sceptical of relying on international forces to defend its borders, a policy that has consequences for the security component of negotiations over the establishment of a Palestinian state.
  • The IDF’s new security doctrine reflects a focus on non-state actors and asymmetric warfare, and establishes new military and strategic approaches as well as redefined standards of what victory means. IDF’s
  • Israel’s political leadership has failed to fully implement recommendations for improving the national security decision-making process that were exposed during the war.

Download the full Strategic Assessment below.

Download PDF