What’s happened: Prime Minister Netanyahu met yesterday with Jared Kushner, Nickolay Mladenov and Sir Tony Blair to discuss the Board of Peace’s plan for Gaza.
- The meeting lasted over three hours, at the end the Prime Minister’s Office announced, “It was agreed to establish two working groups, one on disarmament and demilitarisation of Gaza, which both Israel and the Board of Peace are determined should be prompt and completed before any reconstruction happens in Gaza. A second working group will focus on sanitation, clean water and other public health issues for the people of Gaza and which also impact the people of Israel.”
- They also met with President Herzog, who said after the meeting, “I am grateful for the ongoing efforts of President Trump’s Special Envoy Jared Kushner and the Board of Peace, led by Nickolay Mladenov, in advancing to the next stages in Gaza in accordance with President Trump’s 20-Point Plan. I was impressed that Israel’s security interests are an important and central element of their plan. I commended and encouraged their efforts to ensure a brighter and more secure future for the people of Israel, the people of Gaza, and the entire region.”
- Following the meeting Kushner told Fox News, “For Israel we think this is a win-win situation because if Hamas actually gives over the weapons and the tunnels willingly over the next 60 to 90 days that obviously would be the elimination of a huge security threat for Israel, almost an unthinkable achievement.”
- In parallel to the meetings Kan News reported that senior military officers from Uganda and Burundi visited the Civil Military Coordination Centre (CMCC) in Kiryat Gat to prepare for the deployment of hundreds of troops in the Gaza Strip as part of the International Stabilization Force (ISF). They met with officers from the IDF and the US Army, who presented the operational plans to them.
Context: Following the board’s meeting with Hamas in Egypt on Sunday it was important for Israel to remain closely coordinated to ensure their vital interests were protected within the context of the Trump plan.
- Israel and the Board of Peace appear in agreement over the end goal to ensure Hamas is disarmed and its military infrastructure decommissioned. The main disagreement appeared to be over sequencing, which this meeting seems to have resolved. Initially the Board of Peace planned to connect incremental disarmament, the deployment of the ISF and gradual Israeli withdrawals. Faced with Israel’s objections it now seems there will be no withdrawal until Hamas has disarmed.
- The parties agreed that in the initial stage of disarmament, Hamas’s weapons will be turned over to an American force that will decommission them, and not to the National Committee for the Administration of Gaza.
- In addition, an agreement was reached at the meeting that no reconstruction work would begin in Gaza before Hamas’s full disarmament. This apparently contradicts previous understandings that suggested Rafah would be part of initial pilot programme for reconstruction.
- The second working group to be formed includes an Israeli obligation to facilitate water purification in the Gaza Strip as part of the effort to improve the humanitarian situation. As part of the meeting Shin Bet director Zini and head IDF Military Intelligence Maj. Gen. Binder presented extensive intelligence on conditions in Gaza and Hamas’ efforts to rebuild its capabilities. The presentation included Israeli intelligence alleging that Turkey is financing Hamas.
- According to Israeli media reports Netanyahu also criticised Kushner for meeting with Hamas leaders, telling him, “These are the architects of Oct. 7.” Apparently, Kushner did not respond.
- Furthermore, there is residual Israeli concern that Hamas’s talk about disarmament is another tactical ruse. Hamas remains ideologically committed to Israel’s destruction. The Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya who met with the Board on Sunday, was recently chosen as their new leader, with the backing of Iran.
- According to the latest Israeli intelligence assessments Hamas currently feels under pressure for three reasons:
- The continued IDF’s deployment along the yellow line.
- The ongoing Israeli efforts to target Hamas military commanders.
- Internal pressure from Gazans civilians who have lost so much, and blame Hamas for initiating the attack almost three years ago.
- In the meantime, Hamas has been focused on maintaining its control over the population, including reestablishing over 80 per cent of government institutions, including local authorities, the police and restoring their income though taxing the entrance of goods and of merchants. Whilst there had been hope of a popular revolt against Hamas, this no longer seems likely in the near future.
Looking ahead: Following Hamas’s commitment to disarm the burden of proof is now on Hamas to show that they really intend to honour their commitments.
- It is hoped that Hamas will begin their disarmament in the next few weeks.


