Israel-US: Strategic Affairs Minister Dermer met with US President-elect Trump. The meeting aimed to pass along messages regarding Israel’s plans for Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran over the next two months.
- Dermer also met with US Secretary of State Blinken, National Security Adviser Sullivan, White House Coordinator for the Middle East and North Africa McGurk, and special envoy for Lebanon Hochstein.
- Context: Israel is standing at a multilayered crossroads, as Minister Dermer’s trip illustrates, Israel needs to remain coordinated with the Biden administration, whilst preparing for Trump across a range of fronts and issues.
- Dermer’s meetings with US officials discussed the Wednesday deadline set by the Biden administration to dramatically improve the humanitarian crisis in Gaza at the risk of a partial arms embargo. They also discussed efforts to secure ceasefires in Gaza and Lebanon.
- On October 13, The Biden administration sent a letter to the Israeli government demanding it act to improve the humanitarian situation in Gaza within the next 30 days or risk violating US laws governing foreign military assistance.
- White House national security spokesperson John Kirby said that the letter was not intended as a threat, but “was simply meant to reiterate the sense of urgency we feel and the seriousness with which we feel it, about the need for an increase, a dramatic increase in humanitarian assistance.”
- The letter also says that failure to demonstrate a sustained commitment to implementing and maintaining these measures may have implications for US policy under NSM-20 and relevant US law.” This refers to a memorandum issued by the White House National Security Council, which allows for ‘appropriate next steps’ if a country receiving US military aid is deemed by the State Department or the Pentagon not to be meeting prior assurances of allowing the delivery of humanitarian assistance.
- Dermer was expected to present Secretary of State Blinken with a letter that details all the measures Israel has taken to increase the humanitarian aid across Gaza, especially in the northern part. The letter is thought to include a breakdown of the new border crossings that have been opened, the expansion of humanitarian zones and the increased volume of aid.
- Israel claims that whereas it has worked to meet the pace of aid demanded by the Biden administration, UN aid organisations have failed to deliver the goods. While Israel has been unable to meet an American demand for 350 aid trucks daily to be transferred into Gaza, it has dramatically increased numbers since the American ultimatum letter was sent, and 250 trucks now crossing into Gaza each day.
- The IDF announced that since the beginning of last month, more than 700 aid trucks have entered northern Gaza through the Erez West crossing. However, a significant challenge remains in the collection and distribution of this aid, there are approximately 700 trucks worth of aid waiting for collection by international organisations on the Gazan side of the various crossings.
- The Biden administration is also reportedly considering harsh moves against Israel during the transition period, including tighter restrictions on arms supplies and a possible failure to veto anti-Israel resolutions at the UN Security Council.
- Senior security officials reportedly criticised Katz for his comments over the weekend that Israel had defeated Hezbollah. They argued that his ‘declaration of victory’ and statements about Israeli freedom of action caused the other side to climb out on a high tree, adding “It would be best first to finalise an agreement and then to sell it to the public, and not the other way around.”
- Looking ahead: US Special Envoy Amos Hochstein is expected to return to the region in order to advance an agreement to end the war with Hezbollah. He will travel first to Lebanon, after which he will see whether he has anything he can take to Israel.
- Israel has demanded that the new agreement include clear terms, including IDF freedom to act in response to threats. Ultimately, that might not be a formal part of the agreement, and might only be an annex.



